2024-12-14 00:18:48
Pinduoduo stocks fell more than 3% before trading.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.
Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.India's new central bank governor: policy stability is very important and will try to maintain policy continuity.The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.
The International Finance Association predicts that the capital flowing into emerging markets will decrease by 24% in 2025, and the International Finance Association predicts that the capital flowing into emerging markets will decrease by 24% to $716 billion in 2025. It is estimated that in 2025, Mexico's portfolio inflow will drop by a quarter to $1 billion, and in 2025, India's portfolio inflow will more than triple to $22 billion.The China Securities Association held a meeting of directors and all members of the regional equity market professional committee, and the meeting of directors and all members of the regional equity market professional committee of the Securities Association was held in Chongqing on December 5th. The regional equity market should further thoroughly implement the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, take the new "National Nine Articles" as a guide, persist in comprehensively deepening reforms, strive to break down institutional and institutional obstacles and structural problems, explore innovative pilot projects according to local conditions, develop new quality productivity, and establish a basic service system, a comprehensive financial service system and a listing standard cultivation system that are in line with local conditions and the characteristics of small and medium-sized enterprises, so as to continuously improve the comprehensive financial service capability. At the same time, the positioning function of regional equity market is still in the exploration stage, and innovation exploration in various places should pay attention to both standardization and development, and various risk prevention and control and supporting measures should be in place simultaneously.CPOPC: The price of palm oil is expected to fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 in 2025. It is reported that the Council of Palm Oil Producers (CPOPC) predicts that the price of palm oil may fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 per ton in 2025, driven by the stagnant production in major markets, especially Indonesia and Malaysia. Deputy Secretary-General CPOPC pointed out that the current price level around RM5,000 per ton may be temporary, mainly affected by the continuous floods in Malaysia, which boosted the bullish sentiment in the market. Due to the aging plantations, unpredictable weather and limited expansion to new plantations, it is expected that the cessation of production will tighten global supply and further push up prices.
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Strategy guide 12-14